Mets vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 22nd Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The San Diego Padres will go up against the New York Mets in MLB action on Thursday at PETCO Park, beginning at 9:40 p.m. ET.

We've performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Mets vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Padres have a 59% chance of beating the Mets.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Mets vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Padres picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Mets vs. Padres Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, August 22nd, 2024
• Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Location: PETCO Park
• Run Line: Mets +1.5 / Padres -1.5
• Moneyline: Mets +136 / Padres -158
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (+100/-118)

Padres -1.5 @ +145 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +145.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at +100.
• Our analysis indicates a 53% likelihood that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 2.9%.

Mets vs. Padres Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at +136 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the San Diego Padres are available at -158 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 59% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Padres are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +136 odds on the Mets moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Padres

Here are the top MLB player props for Thursday's Mets vs. Padres matchup.

New York Mets Prediction - Luis Severino Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-120)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Luis Severino to record under 2.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 61.5%, providing an edge of 7.0% the -120 odds offered by DraftKings.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Luis Campusano To Get a Hit (-175)

• Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Luis Campusano to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 71.4%, providing an edge of 7.8% on the -175 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Padres Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Mets vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jurickson Profar to Record a Hit

Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one hit in 8 of his last 12 appearances (67% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -200 (67% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luis Campusano of the Padres to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Padres -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Mets vs. Padres predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.