Mets vs. Nationals Picks & Best Bets 5th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Washington Nationals will go up against the New York Mets in MLB action on Wednesday at Nationals Park, starting at 4:05 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Mets vs. Nationals bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Mets have a 53% chance of defeating the Nationals.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Mets vs. Nationals Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mets vs. Nationals picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Mets vs. Nationals Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, June 5th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Location: Nationals Park
- Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Nationals +1.5
- Moneyline: Mets -142 / Nationals +124
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (-110/-105)
Nationals +1.5 @ -128 via FanDuel Sportsbook
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals +1.5 | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -128 |
- According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 40%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -128 for the Nationals +1.5, presenting a favorable 3.5% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Under 9.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -105 |
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -105.
- Our analysis suggests a 56% probability of the 9.5-run total staying under, providing an edge of 5%.
Mets vs. Nationals Moneyline Odds
| New York Mets | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|
| -142 via DraftKings Sportsbook | +124 via FanDuel Sportsbook |
The Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 53% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Mets are favored to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +124 odds on the Nationals moneyline, providing an edge of 2.1%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Nationals
Here are the top MLB player props for Wednesday's Mets vs. Nationals game.
New York Mets Prediction - Luis Severino Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (-105)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino Under 17.5 Outs | BetMGM | Get Offer | -105 |
- Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Luis Severino to record under 17.5 outs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 69.1%, giving us an edge of 17.9% over the -105 odds offered by BetMGM.
Washington Nationals Prediction - Jacob Young To Get a Hit (-155)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Young To Get a Hit | BetMGM | Get Offer | -155 |
- Our best prop bet for the Nationals is on Jacob Young to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 74.4%, giving us an edge of 13.6% on the -155 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mets vs. Nationals Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Mets vs. Nationals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jacob Young to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Young to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +330 |
Jacob Young has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 14 appearances (36% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +330 (23% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Ildemaro Vargas to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ildemaro Vargas to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +235 |
Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one RBI in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +235 (30%), also available at DraftKings.
Joey Gallo to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +235 |
Joey Gallo has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +180 (36%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luis Severino of the Mets to record under 17.5 outs, with an edge of 17.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.
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