Mets vs. Nationals Picks & Best Bets 4th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Washington Nationals will host the New York Mets in MLB action on Tuesday at Nationals Park, starting at 6:45 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Mets vs. Nationals bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Mets have a 56% chance of defeating the Nationals.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Mets vs. Nationals Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Nationals picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, June 4th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
• Location: Nationals Park
• Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Nationals +1.5
• Moneyline: Mets -134 / Nationals +120
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-115/+100)

Nationals +1.5 @ -135 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -135 for the Nationals +1.5, providing a favorable 2.6% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9 @ +100 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at +100.
• Our analysis suggests a 55% probability of the 9-run total staying under, providing an edge of 4.9%.

Mets vs. Nationals Moneyline Odds

The Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 56% chance of coming out on top.

Although the Mets are favored to win, BetMGM offers +120 odds on the Nationals moneyline, providing an edge of 1.3%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Nationals

Here are the top MLB player props for Tuesday's Mets vs. Nationals matchup.

New York Mets Prediction - David Peterson Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-135)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on David Peterson to record under 2.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 70.5%, providing an edge of 13.1% the -135 odds offered by DraftKings.

Washington Nationals Prediction - Trevor Williams Under 16.5 Outs (-125)

• Our best prop bet for the Nationals is on Trevor Williams to have under 16.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 71.1%, giving us an edge of 15.5% on the -125 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Nationals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Jesse Winker to Record an RBI

Jesse Winker has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 16 games (50% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +240 (29% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Tomás Nido to Record an RBI

Tomás Nido has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 15 appearances (40%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +265 (27%), also available at DraftKings.

Eddie Rosario to Record an RBI

Eddie Rosario has recorded at least one RBI in 11 of his last 25 appearances (44%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +270 (27%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Trevor Williams of the Nationals to record under 16.5 outs, with an edge of 15.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Mets vs. Nationals predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.