Mets vs. Nationals Picks & Best Bets 3rd Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Washington Nationals will meet the New York Mets in MLB action on Wednesday at Nationals Park, starting at 6:45 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Mets vs. Nationals bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Mets have a 54% chance of defeating the Nationals.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Mets vs. Nationals Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Nationals picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, July 3rd, 2024
• Game Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
• Location: Nationals Park
• Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Nationals +1.5
• Moneyline: Mets -125 / Nationals +115
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-102/-110)

Nationals +1.5 @ -150 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -150 for the Nationals +1.5, providing a favorable 0.3% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9 @ -110 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -110.
• Our analysis shows a 52% likelihood of the 9-run total staying under.

Mets vs. Nationals Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at -125 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Washington Nationals are available at +115 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 54% chance of prevailing.

Although the Mets are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +115 odds on the Nationals moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Nationals

Here are the top MLB player props for Wednesday's Mets vs. Nationals matchup.

New York Mets Prediction - Jeff McNeil To Get a Hit (-165)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Jeff McNeil to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 76.0%, providing an edge of 13.7% over the -165 odds offered by BetMGM.

Washington Nationals Prediction - Mitchell Parker Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (-105)

• Our best prop bet for the Nationals is on Mitchell Parker to have over 1.5 walks allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 64.1%, providing an edge of 12.9% on the -105 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Nationals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

J.D. Martinez to Record a Hit

J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 17 appearances (76% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -275 (73% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Jesse Winker to Record an RBI

Jesse Winker has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 19 appearances (42%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +200 (33%), also available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jeff McNeil of the Mets to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Mets vs. Nationals predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.