Mets vs. Nationals Picks & Best Bets 2nd Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Washington Nationals will go up against the New York Mets in MLB action on Tuesday at Nationals Park, starting at 6:45 p.m. ET.

We've run 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Mets vs. Nationals bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Mets have a 53% chance of defeating the Nationals.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Mets vs. Nationals Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Nationals picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, July 2nd, 2024
• Game Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
• Location: Nationals Park
• Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Nationals +1.5
• Moneyline: Mets -142 / Nationals +120
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-105/-105)

Nationals +1.5 @ -130 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -130 for the Nationals +1.5, providing a favorable 3.3% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -105.
• Our analysis indicates a 53% chance that the total will stay under 9 runs, providing an edge of 1.7%.

Mets vs. Nationals Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at -142 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Washington Nationals are available at +120 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 53% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Mets are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +120 odds on the Nationals moneyline, providing an edge of 1.5%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Nationals

Here are the top MLB player props for Tuesday's Mets vs. Nationals matchup.

New York Mets Prediction - Sean Manaea Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+110)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Sean Manaea to record over 4.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 54.6%, providing an edge of 7.0% over the +110 odds offered by BetMGM.

Washington Nationals Prediction - CJ Abrams To Get a Hit (-190)

• Our best prop bet for the Nationals is on CJ Abrams to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 75.7%, providing an edge of 10.2% on the -190 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Nationals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Francisco Álvarez to Record a Hit

Francisco Álvarez has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 appearances (91% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of -185 (65% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Harrison Bader to Record an RBI

Harrison Bader has recorded at least one RBI in 9 of his last 21 appearances (43%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +155 (39%), also available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing CJ Abrams of the Nationals to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Mets vs. Nationals predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.