Mets vs. Nationals Picks & Best Bets 1st Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Washington Nationals will take on the New York Mets in MLB action on Monday at Nationals Park, beginning at 6:45 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Mets vs. Nationals bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Mets have a 51% chance of beating the Nationals.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Mets vs. Nationals Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Nationals picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information

• Game Date: Monday, July 1st, 2024
• Game Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
• Location: Nationals Park
• Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Nationals +1.5
• Moneyline: Mets -115 / Nationals -102
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (+100/-115)

Nationals +1.5 @ -166 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 38%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -166.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -115.
• Our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood that the total will stay under 8.5 runs, providing an edge of 0.2%.

Mets vs. Nationals Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at -115 via BetMGM, whilst the Washington Nationals are available at -102 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 51% chance of prevailing.

Even though the Mets are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers -102 odds on the Nationals moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Nationals

Here are the top MLB player props for Monday's Mets vs. Nationals matchup.

New York Mets Prediction - Jeff McNeil To Get a Hit (-175)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Jeff McNeil to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 76.1%, providing an edge of 12.4% the -175 odds offered by DraftKings.

Washington Nationals Prediction - CJ Abrams To Get a Hit (-210)

• Our best prop bet for the Nationals is on CJ Abrams to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.5%, giving us an edge of 8.8% on the -210 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Mets vs. Nationals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Francisco Álvarez to Record an RBI

Francisco Álvarez has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 10 appearances (60% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +210 (32% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Pete Alonso to Record an RBI

Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 12 appearances (58%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +165 (38%), also available at DraftKings.

Brandon Nimmo to Record a Hit

Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 14 appearances (86%). You can wager on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -245 (71%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jeff McNeil of the Mets to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Mets vs. Nationals predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.