Mets vs. Marlins Picks & Best Bets: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Miami Marlins will take on the New York Mets in MLB action on Friday at loanDepot park, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Mets vs. Marlins bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Mets have a 51% chance of defeating the Marlins.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Mets vs. Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mets vs. Marlins picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Mets vs. Marlins Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, May 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Location: loanDepot park
- Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Marlins +1.5
- Moneyline: Mets -122 / Marlins +105
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-102/-115)
Marlins +1.5 @ -162 via DraftKings Sportsbook
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marlins +1.5 | DraftKings Sportsbook | -162 |
- According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 37%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -162 for the Marlins +1.5, presenting a favorable 1% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -102 via FanDuel Sportsbook
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | FanDuel Sportsbook | -102 |
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -102.
- Our analysis indicates a slightly higher chance of the 7.5-run total going over, which presents better value compared to betting on the under.
Mets vs. Marlins Moneyline Odds
| New York Mets | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|
| -122 via FanDuel Sportsbook | +105 via BetMGM |
The Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 51% chance of prevailing.
Although the Mets are favored to win, BetMGM offers +105 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 0.4%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Marlins
Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Mets vs. Marlins matchup.
New York Mets Prediction - Christian Scott Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (+120)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Scott Under 17.5 Outs | BetMGM | +120 |
- Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Christian Scott to record under 17.5 outs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 69.4%, giving us an edge of 23.9% on the +120 odds offered by BetMGM.
Miami Marlins Prediction - Christian Bethancourt To Get a Hit (-120)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt To Get a Hit | BetMGM | -120 |
- Our best prop bet for the Marlins is on Christian Bethancourt to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 64.7%, providing an edge of 10.2% on the -120 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mets vs. Marlins Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Mets vs. Marlins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Brandon Nimmo to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +255 |
Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 12 appearances (42% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +255 (28% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
J.D. Martinez to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Martinez to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +160 |
J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 games (50%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +160 (38%), also available at DraftKings.
Vidal Bruján to Hit a Home Run
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vidal Bruján to Hit a Home Run | Bet365 | +160 |
Vidal Bruján has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 games (10%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +1200 (8%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Christian Scott of the Mets to record under 17.5 outs, with an edge of 23.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Mets vs. Marlins predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.
The people behind this page
DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online.
BettingOdds.com takes no responsibility for your actions.
