Mets vs. Marlins Picks & Best Bets 22nd Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Miami Marlins will meet the New York Mets in MLB action on Monday at loanDepot park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Mets vs. Marlins bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Mets have a 56% chance of beating the Marlins.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Mets vs. Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Marlins picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information

• Game Date: Monday, July 22nd, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: loanDepot park
• Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Marlins +1.5
• Moneyline: Mets -148 / Marlins +126
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-105/-105)

Marlins +1.5 @ -130 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 43%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -130 for the Marlins +1.5, presenting a favorable 0% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis shows a 51% chance of the 8.5-run total going over.

Mets vs. Marlins Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at -148 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Miami Marlins are available at +126 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 56% chance of coming out on top.

Although the Mets are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +126 odds on the Marlins moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Marlins

Here are the best MLB player props for Monday's Mets vs. Marlins matchup.

New York Mets Prediction - David Peterson Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on David Peterson to record under 4.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 59.8%, giving us an edge of 12.2% over the +110 odds offered by FanDuel.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Yonny Chirinos Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+120)

• Our best prop bet for the Marlins is on Yonny Chirinos to have under 3.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 59.3%, giving us an edge of 13.8% on the +120 odds available at FanDuel.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Marlins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Mark Vientos to Record an RBI

Mark Vientos has recorded at least one RBI in 11 of his last 22 appearances (50% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +175 (36% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Mark Vientos to Record a Hit

Mark Vientos has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 18 appearances (78%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -205 (67%), also available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Yonny Chirinos of the Marlins to record under 3.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 13.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Mets vs. Marlins predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.