Mets vs. Marlins Picks & Best Bets 21st Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Miami Marlins will meet the New York Mets in MLB action on Sunday at loanDepot park, beginning at 1:40 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Mets vs. Marlins bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Mets have a 54% chance of beating the Marlins.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Mets vs. Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Marlins picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, July 21st, 2024
• Game Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Location: loanDepot park
• Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Marlins +1.5
• Moneyline: Mets -142 / Marlins +125
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-108/-110)

Marlins +1.5 @ -134 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 42%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -134 for the Marlins +1.5, presenting a favorable 1.1% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -110 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
• Our analysis shows a 51% likelihood that the total will stay under 8.5 runs.

Mets vs. Marlins Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at -142 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Miami Marlins are available at +125 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 54% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Mets are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +125 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 1.5%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Marlins

Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Mets vs. Marlins game.

New York Mets Prediction - Christian Scott Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (-135)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Christian Scott to record under 17.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 68.4%, providing an edge of 10.9% over the -135 odds offered by BetMGM.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Nick Fortes To Get a Hit (-120)

• Our best prop bet for the Marlins is on Nick Fortes to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 67.2%, providing an edge of 12.6% on the -120 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Mets vs. Marlins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Nick Fortes to Record an RBI

Nick Fortes has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 13 appearances (38% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +260 (28% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Nick Fortes of the Marlins to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Mets vs. Marlins predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.