Mets vs. Marlins Picks & Best Bets 20th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Miami Marlins will face the New York Mets in MLB action on Saturday at loanDepot park, beginning at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Mets vs. Marlins bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Mets have a 56% chance of defeating the Marlins.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Mets vs. Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Marlins picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, July 20th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: loanDepot park
• Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Marlins +1.5
• Moneyline: Mets -165 / Marlins +140
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-110/-110)

Marlins +1.5 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 43%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -115 for the Marlins +1.5, presenting a favorable 3.7% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -110.
• Our analysis suggests a 52% chance that the total will stay under 9 runs, providing an edge of 0.1%.

Mets vs. Marlins Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at -165 via BetMGM, whilst the Miami Marlins are available at +140 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 56% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Mets are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +140 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 2.6%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Marlins

Here are the best MLB player props for Saturday's Mets vs. Marlins game.

New York Mets Prediction - Luis Severino Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-175)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Luis Severino to record under 18.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 75.4%, giving us an edge of 11.8% over the -175 odds offered by BetMGM.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Nick Fortes To Get a Hit (-110)

• Our best prop bet for the Marlins is on Nick Fortes to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 63.7%, giving us an edge of 11.3% on the -110 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Mets vs. Marlins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Mark Vientos to Record an RBI

Mark Vientos has recorded at least one RBI in 11 of his last 20 appearances (55% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +165 (38% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Brandon Nimmo to Record a Hit

Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 10 appearances (90%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -240 (71%), also available at DraftKings.

Jeff McNeil to Record an RBI

Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 11 games (45%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +200 (33%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luis Severino of the Mets to record under 18.5 outs, with an edge of 11.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Mets vs. Marlins predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.