Mets vs. Marlins Picks & Best Bets 19th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Miami Marlins will take on the New York Mets in MLB action on Friday at loanDepot park, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Mets vs. Marlins bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Mets have a 51% chance of beating the Marlins.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Mets vs. Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Marlins picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, July 19th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: loanDepot park
• Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Marlins +1.5
• Moneyline: Mets -130 / Marlins +115
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-105/-105)

Marlins +1.5 @ -148 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 38%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -148 for the Marlins +1.5, providing a favorable 2.2% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 8 @ -105 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -105.
• Our analysis indicates a 51% chance of the 8-run total staying under, providing an edge of 0.1%.

Mets vs. Marlins Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at -130 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Miami Marlins are available at +115 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 51% chance of victory.

Even though the Mets are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +115 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 2.2%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Marlins

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Mets vs. Marlins game.

New York Mets Prediction - Jeff McNeil To Get a Hit (-175)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Jeff McNeil to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 76.1%, providing an edge of 12.4% the -175 odds offered by BetMGM.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Jesus Sanchez To Get a Hit (-125)

• Our best prop bet for the Marlins is on Jesus Sanchez to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 68.3%, giving us an edge of 12.7% on the -125 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Mets vs. Marlins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Xavier Edwards to Record an RBI

Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one RBI in 3 of his last 10 games (30% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +270 (27% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Nick Fortes to Record an RBI

Nick Fortes has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 11 games (36%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +265 (27%), also available at DraftKings.

Harrison Bader to Record an RBI

Harrison Bader has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 17 games (35%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +220 (31%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jesus Sanchez of the Marlins to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Mets vs. Marlins predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.