Mets vs. Mariners Picks & Best Bets 11th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Seattle Mariners will take on the New York Mets in MLB action on Sunday at T-Mobile Park, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Mets vs. Mariners bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Mariners have a 53% chance of beating the Mets.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Mets vs. Mariners Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Mariners picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Mets vs. Mariners Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, August 11th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: T-Mobile Park
• Run Line: Mets +1.5 / Mariners -1.5
• Moneyline: Mets +110 / Mariners -120
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-110/-108)

Mets +1.5 @ -198 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the Mariners have a probability of 34%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -198.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -110 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -110.
• Our analysis indicates a 55% likelihood that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 2.6%.

Mets vs. Mariners Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at +110 via BetMGM, whilst the Seattle Mariners are available at -120 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mariners are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 53% chance of prevailing.

Although the Mariners are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +110 odds on the Mets moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Mariners

Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Mets vs. Mariners game.

New York Mets Prediction - Luis Severino Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Luis Severino to record under 5.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 67.8%, giving us an edge of 12.2% over the -125 odds offered by BetMGM.

Seattle Mariners Prediction - Jorge Polanco To Get a Hit (-130)

• Our best prop bet for the Mariners is on Jorge Polanco to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 62.5%, providing an edge of 6.0% on the -130 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Mariners Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Mariners trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Pete Alonso to Hit a Home Run

Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 13 games (31% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +475 (17% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luis Severino of the Mets to record under 5.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 12.2% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Mets +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Mets vs. Mariners predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.