Mets vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will take on the New York Mets in MLB action on Monday at Progressive Field, beginning at 6:10 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Mets vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Guardians have a 52% chance of defeating the Mets.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Mets vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Guardians picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Mets vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Monday, May 20th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: Mets +1.5 / Guardians -1.5
• Moneyline: Mets +108 / Guardians -125
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-105/-112)

Mets +1.5 @ -190 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Guardians have a probability of 35%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -190.

Total Runs Over 9 @ -105 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis shows a 52% chance that the total will go over 9 runs, providing an edge of 0.9%.

Mets vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 52% chance of coming out on top.

Although the Guardians are favored to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +108 odds on the Mets moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Guardians

Here are the best MLB player props for Monday's Mets vs. Guardians game.

New York Mets Prediction - Tylor Megill Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+135)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Tylor Megill to record over 3.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 58.5%, providing an edge of 15.9% over the +135 odds offered by BetMGM.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Ben Lively Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+120)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Ben Lively to have over 4.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 60.3%, providing an edge of 14.8% on the +120 odds available at FanDuel.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Will Brennan to Record an RBI

Will Brennan has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 12 games (33% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +205 (33% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tylor Megill of the Mets to record over 3.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 15.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Mets +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Mets vs. Guardians predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.