Mets vs. Diamondbacks Picks & Best Bets 29th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks will take on the New York Mets in MLB action on Thursday at Chase Field, beginning at 3:40 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Mets vs. Diamondbacks bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Mets have a 51% chance of beating the Diamondbacks.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Diamondbacks picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, August 29th, 2024
• Game Time: 3:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Chase Field
• Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Diamondbacks +1.5
• Moneyline: Mets +105 / Diamondbacks -120
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-118/+100)

Mets -1.5 @ +168 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 39%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of +168 for the Mets -1.5, presenting a favorable 1.5% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -118.
• Our analysis indicates a 57% likelihood that the total will go over 8 runs, providing an edge of 2.4%.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at +105 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Arizona Diamondbacks are available at -120 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 51% chance of prevailing.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Mets also present the best betting value, with the odds of +105 available at DraftKings Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 2.7%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Diamondbacks

Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Mets vs. Diamondbacks game.

New York Mets Prediction - David Peterson Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+120)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on David Peterson to record over 4.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 59.0%, providing an edge of 13.6% over the +120 odds offered by BetMGM.

Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Jose Herrera To Get a Hit (-110)

• Our best prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Jose Herrera to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 61.4%, providing an edge of 9.0% on the -110 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Mets vs. Diamondbacks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Corbin Carroll to Hit a Home Run

Corbin Carroll has hit at least one home run in 5 of his last 11 games (45% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +1100 (8% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Eugenio Suárez to Hit a Home Run

Eugenio Suárez has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 12 appearances (25%). You can place a bet on him to hit another one at odds of +650 (13%), also available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing David Peterson of the Mets to record over 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 13.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Mets -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Mets vs. Diamondbacks predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.