Mets vs. Diamondbacks Picks & Best Bets 28th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks will take on the New York Mets in MLB action on Wednesday at Chase Field, starting at 9:40 p.m. ET.

We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Mets vs. Diamondbacks bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Diamondbacks have a 52% chance of beating the Mets.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Diamondbacks picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, August 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Chase Field
• Run Line: Mets +1.5 / Diamondbacks -1.5
• Moneyline: Mets +105 / Diamondbacks -120
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-102/-118)

Mets +1.5 @ -192 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Diamondbacks have a probability of 35%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -192.

Total Runs Over 9 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -102.
• Our analysis suggests a 52% probability of the 9-run total going over, providing an edge of 1.5%.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at +105 via BetMGM, whilst the Arizona Diamondbacks are available at -120 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Diamondbacks are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 52% chance of coming out on top.

Although the Diamondbacks are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +105 odds on the Mets moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Diamondbacks

Here are the best MLB player props for Wednesday's Mets vs. Diamondbacks matchup.

New York Mets Prediction - Luis Severino Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (-120)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Luis Severino to record under 17.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 65.3%, providing an edge of 10.8% on the -120 odds offered by BetMGM.

Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Geraldo Perdomo To Get a Hit (-135)

• Our best prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Geraldo Perdomo to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 65.6%, giving us an edge of 8.1% on the -135 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Diamondbacks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Eugenio Suárez to Record a Hit

Eugenio Suárez has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 25 games (72% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of -175 (64% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luis Severino of the Mets to record under 17.5 outs, with an edge of 10.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Mets +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Mets vs. Diamondbacks predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.