Mets vs. Diamondbacks Picks & Best Bets 27th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the New York Mets in MLB action on Tuesday at Chase Field, starting at 9:40 p.m. ET.

We've performed 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Mets vs. Diamondbacks bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Mets have a 52% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Diamondbacks picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, August 27th, 2024
• Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Chase Field
• Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Diamondbacks +1.5
• Moneyline: Mets -105 / Diamondbacks -110
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-118/+100)

Mets -1.5 @ +155 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 39%.
• BetMGM offers odds of +155 for the Mets -1.5, providing a favorable 0.2% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -118.
• Our analysis shows a 55% likelihood of the 8-run total going over, providing an edge of 1.3%.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at -105 via BetMGM, whilst the Arizona Diamondbacks are available at -110 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 52% chance of coming out on top.

Additionally, the Mets present the best betting value, with the odds of -105 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0.6%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Diamondbacks

Here are the top MLB player props for Tuesday's Mets vs. Diamondbacks game.

New York Mets Prediction - Sean Manaea Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (-150)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Sean Manaea to record under 17.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 71.4%, giving us an edge of 11.4% the -150 odds offered by DraftKings.

Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Brandon Pfaadt Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+115)

• Our best prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Brandon Pfaadt to have over 2.5 earned runs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 56.4%, giving us an edge of 9.9% on the +115 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Diamondbacks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jesse Winker to Hit a Home Run

Jesse Winker has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 appearances (10% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +900 (10% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Sean Manaea of the Mets to record under 17.5 outs, with an edge of 11.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Mets -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Mets vs. Diamondbacks predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.