Mets vs. Blue Jays Picks & Best Bets 11th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays will meet the New York Mets in MLB action on Wednesday at Rogers Centre, beginning at 3:07 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to identify the best Mets vs. Blue Jays bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Mets have a 55% chance of beating the Blue Jays.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Mets vs. Blue Jays Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Blue Jays picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Mets vs. Blue Jays Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, September 11th, 2024
• Game Time: 3:07 p.m. ET
• Location: Rogers Centre
• Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Blue Jays +1.5
• Moneyline: Mets -130 / Blue Jays +114
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-110/-110)

Blue Jays +1.5 @ -152 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Blue Jays have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 41%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -152.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -110 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -110.
• Our analysis shows a 57% likelihood of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 4.2%.

Mets vs. Blue Jays Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at -130 via BetMGM, whilst the Toronto Blue Jays are available at +114 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 55% chance of prevailing.

Even though the Mets are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +114 odds on the Blue Jays moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

New York Mets Prediction - Harrison Bader To Get a Hit (-135)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Harrison Bader to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 67.8%, providing an edge of 10.4% on the -135 odds offered by BetMGM.

Toronto Blue Jays Prediction - Bowden Francis Under 17.5 Outs (+100)

• Our best prop bet for the Blue Jays is on Bowden Francis to have under 17.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 61.8%, providing an edge of 11.8% on the +100 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Blue Jays Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Mets vs. Blue Jays trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Harrison Bader to Hit a Home Run

Harrison Bader has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 16 appearances (19% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +850 (11% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Bowden Francis of the Blue Jays to record under 17.5 outs, with an edge of 11.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Blue Jays +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Mets vs. Blue Jays predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.