Marlins vs. Twins Picks & Best Bets 25th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Minnesota Twins will go up against the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Wednesday at Target Field, beginning at 7:40 p.m. ET.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Marlins vs. Twins bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Twins have a 61% chance of defeating the Marlins.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Marlins vs. Twins Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Marlins vs. Twins picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Marlins vs. Twins Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, September 25th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Target Field
- Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Twins -1.5
- Moneyline: Marlins +164 / Twins -190
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-105/-108)
Marlins +1.5 @ -130 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Twins have a probability of 43%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -130 for the Marlins +1.5, presenting a favorable 0.2% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis suggests a 58% chance of the 8.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 7.2%.
Marlins vs. Twins Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Marlins at +164 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Minnesota Twins are available at -190 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Twins are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 61% chance of prevailing.
Although the Twins are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +164 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 0.9%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Miami Marlins Prediction - Willi Castro To Get a Hit (-185)
- Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Willi Castro to get a hit.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 78.9%, providing an edge of 13.9% on the -185 odds offered by DraftKings.
Minnesota Twins Prediction - Willi Castro To Get a Hit (-185)
- Our best prop bet for the Twins is on Willi Castro to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 78.9%, providing an edge of 13.9% on the -185 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Marlins vs. Twins Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Marlins vs. Twins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Willi Castro to Record a Hit
Willi Castro has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 12 games (83% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -185 (65% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Derek Hill to Hit a Home Run
Derek Hill has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 games (20%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +1100 (8%), available at Bet365.
Carlos Correa to Hit a Home Run
Carlos Correa has hit at least one home run in 5 of his last 20 games (25%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +600 (14%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Willi Castro of the Marlins to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Marlins vs. Twins predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.