Marlins vs. Reds Picks & Best Bets 12th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Friday at Great American Ball Park, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Marlins vs. Reds bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Reds have a 59% chance of defeating the Marlins.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Marlins vs. Reds Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Marlins vs. Reds picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Marlins vs. Reds Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, July 12th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Great American Ball Park
• Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Reds -1.5
• Moneyline: Marlins +152 / Reds -170
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-112/-105)

Marlins +1.5 @ -130 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the Reds have a probability of 42%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -130 for the Marlins +1.5, presenting a favorable 1.6% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9 @ -105 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -105.
• Our analysis suggests a 52% probability of the 9-run total staying under, providing an edge of 0.5%.

Marlins vs. Reds Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Marlins at +152 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Cincinnati Reds are available at -170 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Reds are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 59% chance of victory.

Even though the Reds are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +152 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 1.3%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Marlins vs. Reds

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Marlins vs. Reds matchup.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Yonny Chirinos Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145)

• Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Yonny Chirinos to record under 4.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 70.3%, providing an edge of 11.1% on the -145 odds offered by DraftKings.

Cincinnati Reds Prediction - Will Benson To Get a Hit (-135)

• Our best prop bet for the Reds is on Will Benson to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 66.2%, giving us an edge of 8.8% on the -135 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Marlins vs. Reds Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Marlins vs. Reds trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Nick Fortes to Record an RBI

Nick Fortes has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +260 (28% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Noelvi Marte to Record an RBI

Noelvi Marte has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 17 games (41%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +175 (36%), also available at DraftKings.

Jonathan India to Record an RBI

Jonathan India has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 16 appearances (38%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +195 (34%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Yonny Chirinos of the Marlins to record under 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 11.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Marlins vs. Reds predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.