Marlins vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 11th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will meet the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Wednesday at PNC Park, starting at 12:35 p.m. ET.

We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Marlins vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Pirates have a 57% chance of beating the Marlins.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Marlins vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Marlins vs. Pirates picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Marlins vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, September 11th, 2024
• Game Time: 12:35 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Pirates -1.5
• Moneyline: Marlins +136 / Pirates -155
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-105/-115)

Marlins +1.5 @ -155 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Pirates have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -155.

Total Runs Over 9 @ -105 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis suggests a 52% probability that the total will go over 9 runs, providing an edge of 0.5%.

Marlins vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Marlins at +136 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at -155 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Pirates are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 57% chance of prevailing.

Although the Pirates are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +136 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 1.1%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Kyle Stowers To Get a Hit (-135)

• Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Kyle Stowers to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 64.1%, providing an edge of 6.7% on the -135 odds offered by BetMGM.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Jared Triolo To Get a Hit (-160)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Jared Triolo to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 74.0%, providing an edge of 12.5% on the -160 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Marlins vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Marlins vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Connor Norby to Hit a Home Run

Connor Norby has hit at least one home run in 5 of his last 15 games (33% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +600 (14% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Jhonny Pereda to Record an RBI

Jhonny Pereda has recorded at least one RBI in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +275 (27%), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jared Triolo of the Pirates to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Marlins vs. Pirates predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.