Marlins vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 29th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Saturday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 4:05 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Marlins vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Phillies have a 66% chance of beating the Marlins.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Marlins vs. Phillies picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Marlins vs. Phillies Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, June 29th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Location: Citizens Bank Park
- Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
- Moneyline: Marlins +220 / Phillies -250
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (+100/-115)
Marlins +1.5 @ +110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, both the Marlins and Phillies have a 50% chance of covering the run line in this matchup.
- We prefer the Marlins +1.5 because of BetMGM's more favorable odds of +110.
Total Runs Over 9 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at +100.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood that the total will go over 9 runs, providing an edge of 0.8%.
Marlins vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Marlins at +220 via BetMGM, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -250 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 66% chance of prevailing.
Although the Phillies are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +220 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 2.3%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Marlins vs. Phillies
Here are the top MLB player props for Saturday's Marlins vs. Phillies matchup.
Miami Marlins Prediction - Roddery Munoz Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155)
- Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Roddery Munoz to record under 4.5 strikeouts.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 74.3%, giving us an edge of 13.5% on the -155 odds offered by BetMGM.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Aaron Nola Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+120)
- Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Aaron Nola to have over 6.5 strikeouts.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 59.0%, providing an edge of 13.5% on the +120 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Marlins vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Johan Rojas to Record an RBI
Johan Rojas has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 15 appearances (33% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +245 (29% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Nick Gordon to Record an RBI
Nick Gordon has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 16 appearances (31%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +280 (26%), also available at DraftKings.
Edmundo Sosa to Record a Hit
Edmundo Sosa has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 19 appearances (68%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -210 (68%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Aaron Nola of the Phillies to record over 6.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 13.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Marlins vs. Phillies predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.