Marlins vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 28th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies will face the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Friday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 6:20 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to determine the best Marlins vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Phillies have a 70% chance of beating the Marlins.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Marlins vs. Phillies picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Marlins vs. Phillies Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, June 28th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Citizens Bank Park
- Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
- Moneyline: Marlins +220 / Phillies -240
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-102/-105)
Marlins +1.5 @ +110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 52% chance of covering the run line, while the Marlins have a probability of 48%.
- BetMGM offers odds of +110 for the Marlins +1.5, presenting a favorable 0.5% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -102 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -102.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% chance of the 8.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.6%.
Marlins vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Marlins at +220 via BetMGM, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -240 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 70% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Phillies also present the best betting value, with the odds of -240 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Marlins vs. Phillies
Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Marlins vs. Phillies matchup.
Miami Marlins Prediction - Kyle Tyler Under 2.5 Strikeouts (+130)
- Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Kyle Tyler to record under 2.5 strikeouts.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 57.1%, providing an edge of 13.6% the +130 odds offered by BetMGM.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Whit Merrifield To Get a Hit (-210)
- Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Whit Merrifield to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 81.2%, giving us an edge of 13.4% on the -210 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Marlins vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Garrett Stubbs to Record a Hit
Garrett Stubbs has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 13 games (77% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of -135 (57% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Bryan De La Cruz to Record an RBI
Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 appearances (50%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +200 (33%), also available at DraftKings.
Tim Anderson to Record a Hit
Tim Anderson has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 14 appearances (71%). You can wager on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -245 (71%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kyle Tyler of the Marlins to record under 2.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 13.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Marlins vs. Phillies predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.