Marlins vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 27th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will go up against the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Thursday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 6:20 p.m. ET.

We've performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Marlins vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Phillies have a 67% chance of defeating the Marlins.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Marlins vs. Phillies picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Marlins vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, June 27th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:20 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline: Marlins +245 / Phillies -298
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-105/-105)

Marlins +1.5 @ +114 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 51% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 49%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of +114 for the Marlins +1.5, presenting a favorable 3.9% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -105 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis shows a 52% chance of the 8-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.8%.

Marlins vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Marlins at +245 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -298 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 67% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +245 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 3.6%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Marlins vs. Phillies

Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Marlins vs. Phillies game.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Trevor Rogers Under 15.5 Outs Recorded (-160)

• Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Trevor Rogers to record under 15.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 68.7%, giving us an edge of 7.2% on the -160 odds offered by BetMGM.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Zack Wheeler Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+125)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Zack Wheeler to have over 7.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 57.7%, giving us an edge of 13.2% on the +125 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Marlins vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Nick Gordon to Record an RBI

Nick Gordon has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 15 appearances (33% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +280 (26% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Nick Gordon to Record a Hit

Nick Gordon has recorded at least one hit in 7 of his last 10 games (70%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -160 (62%), also available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Zack Wheeler of the Phillies to record over 7.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 13.2% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Marlins vs. Phillies predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.