Marlins vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 14th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies will meet the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Marlins vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Phillies have a 61% chance of defeating the Marlins.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Marlins vs. Phillies picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Marlins vs. Phillies Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, August 14th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Citizens Bank Park
- Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
- Moneyline: Marlins +145 / Phillies -166
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-115/-105)
Marlins +1.5 @ -145 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 42%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -145.
Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -115 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -115.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% probability that the total will go over 8.5 runs.
Marlins vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Marlins at +145 via BetMGM, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -166 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 61% chance of victory.
Although the Phillies are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +145 odds on the Marlins moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Marlins vs. Phillies
Here are the top MLB player props for Wednesday's Marlins vs. Phillies game.
Miami Marlins Prediction - Edward Cabrera Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+108)
- Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Edward Cabrera to record under 5.5 strikeouts.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 60.0%, providing an edge of 12.0% over the +108 odds offered by FanDuel.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Edmundo Sosa To Get a Hit (-145)
- Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Edmundo Sosa to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 72.9%, giving us an edge of 13.7% on the -145 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Marlins vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jake Burger to Hit a Home Run
Jake Burger has hit at least one home run in 9 of his last 14 games (64% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +310 (24% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Vidal Bruján to Hit a Home Run
Vidal Bruján has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 games (10%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +1300 (7%), available at DraftKings.
Derek Hill to Hit a Home Run
Derek Hill has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 22 games (14%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +850 (11%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Edmundo Sosa of the Phillies to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Marlins vs. Phillies predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.