Marlins vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 27th May 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The San Diego Padres will go up against the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Monday at PETCO Park, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Marlins vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Padres have a 61% chance of beating the Marlins.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Marlins vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Marlins vs. Padres picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Marlins vs. Padres Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, May 27th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Location: PETCO Park
- Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Padres -1.5
- Moneyline: Marlins +170 / Padres -190
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-104/-115)
Marlins +1.5 @ -125 via DraftKings Sportsbook
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marlins +1.5 | DraftKings Sportsbook | -125 |
- According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 43%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -125 for the Marlins +1.5, providing a favorable 1.5% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | FanDuel Sportsbook | -104 |
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -104.
- Our analysis suggests a 52% probability that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 1.2%.
Marlins vs. Padres Moneyline Odds
| Miami Marlins | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|
| +170 via DraftKings Sportsbook | -190 via BetMGM |
The Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 61% chance of victory.
Although the Padres are favored to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +170 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 1.8%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Marlins vs. Padres
Here are the best MLB player props for Monday's Marlins vs. Padres game.
Miami Marlins Prediction - Trevor Rogers Under 2.5 Walks Allowed (-200)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Rogers Under 2.5 Walks Allowed | BetMGM | -200 |
- Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Trevor Rogers to record under 2.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 81.2%, providing an edge of 14.6% over the -200 odds offered by BetMGM.
San Diego Padres Prediction - Michael King Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+120)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Michael King Over 1.5 Walks Allowed | DraftKings Sportsbook | +120 |
- Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Michael King to have over 1.5 walks allowed.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 56.0%, providing an edge of 10.6% on the +120 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Marlins vs. Padres Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Marlins vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Otto Lopez to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +285 |
Otto Lopez has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 11 appearances (55% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +285 (26% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Jake Cronenworth to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Cronenworth to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +205 |
Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 appearances (50%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +205 (33%), also available at DraftKings.
Fernando Tatis Jr. to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +205 |
Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 games (50%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +165 (38%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Trevor Rogers of the Marlins to record under 2.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 14.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Marlins vs. Padres predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.
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