Marlins vs. Nationals Picks & Best Bets 14th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Washington Nationals will host the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Saturday at Nationals Park, starting at 4:05 p.m. ET.

We've performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Marlins vs. Nationals bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Nationals have a 57% chance of beating the Marlins.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Marlins vs. Nationals picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, September 14th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
• Location: Nationals Park
• Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Nationals -1.5
• Moneyline: Marlins +124 / Nationals -144
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-120/+100)

Marlins +1.5 @ -170 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Nationals have a probability of 38%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -170.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -120 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -120.
• Our analysis indicates a 57% chance that the total will go over 8.5 runs, providing an edge of 2.3%.

Marlins vs. Nationals Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Marlins at +124 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Washington Nationals are available at -144 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Nationals are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 57% chance of prevailing.

Although the Nationals are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +124 odds on the Marlins moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Valente Bellozo Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115)

• Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Valente Bellozo to record under 3.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 55.6%, giving us an edge of 9.1% on the +115 odds offered by BetMGM.

Washington Nationals Prediction - Patrick Corbin Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115)

• Our best prop bet for the Nationals is on Patrick Corbin to have under 4.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 55.2%, giving us an edge of 8.6% on the +115 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Marlins vs. Nationals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Dylan Crews to Hit a Home Run

Dylan Crews has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 14 games (21% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +400 (20% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Connor Norby to Record a Hit

Connor Norby has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 23 games (78%). You can place a wager on him to get another one at odds of -270 (73%), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Valente Bellozo of the Marlins to record under 3.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 9.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Marlins vs. Nationals predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.