Marlins vs. Nationals Picks & Best Bets 12th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Washington Nationals will take on the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Thursday at Nationals Park, starting at 6:45 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Marlins vs. Nationals bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Nationals have a 61% chance of defeating the Marlins.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Marlins vs. Nationals picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, September 12th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
• Location: Nationals Park
• Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Nationals -1.5
• Moneyline: Marlins +154 / Nationals -180
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-106/-114)

Marlins +1.5 @ -125 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the Nationals have a probability of 44%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -125 for the Marlins +1.5, presenting a favorable 0.7% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 9 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -106.
• Our analysis indicates a 52% probability of the 9-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.7%.

Marlins vs. Nationals Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Marlins at +154 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Washington Nationals are available at -180 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Nationals are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 61% chance of victory.

Even though the Nationals are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +154 odds on the Marlins moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Griffin Conine To Get a Hit (-110)

• Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Griffin Conine to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 59.4%, providing an edge of 7.0% on the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.

Washington Nationals Prediction - Mitchell Parker Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (-105)

• Our best prop bet for the Nationals is on Mitchell Parker to have over 1.5 walks allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 63.2%, giving us an edge of 12.0% on the -105 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Marlins vs. Nationals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

James Wood to Record a Hit

James Wood has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 12 games (83% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of -245 (71% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Mitchell Parker of the Nationals to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 12% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Marlins vs. Nationals predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.