Marlins vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 18th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will face the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Sunday at Citi Field, starting at 12:05 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Marlins vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Mets have a 66% chance of beating the Marlins.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Marlins vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Marlins vs. Mets picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Marlins vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, August 18th, 2024
• Game Time: 12:05 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Mets -1.5
• Moneyline: Marlins +166 / Mets -192
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-105/-115)

Mets -1.5 @ +110 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 47%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +110.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -115.
• Our analysis shows a 53% likelihood that the total will stay under 8.5 runs.

Marlins vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Marlins at +166 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the New York Mets are available at -192 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 66% chance of victory.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Mets also present the best betting value, with the odds of -192 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Marlins vs. Mets

Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Marlins vs. Mets matchup.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Valente Bellozo Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-120)

• Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Valente Bellozo to record under 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 68.5%, providing an edge of 13.9% on the -120 odds offered by DraftKings.

New York Mets Prediction - Jesse Winker To Get a Hit (-155)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Jesse Winker to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 71.9%, giving us an edge of 11.1% on the -155 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Marlins vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Marlins vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jonah Bride to Hit a Home Run

Jonah Bride has hit at least one home run in 5 of his last 16 games (31% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +900 (10% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Nick Fortes to Record an RBI

Nick Fortes has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 22 games (32%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +290 (26%), available at DraftKings.

Pete Alonso to Hit a Home Run

Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in 6 of his last 19 appearances (32%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +290 (26%), again available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Valente Bellozo of the Marlins to record under 5.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 13.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Mets -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Marlins vs. Mets predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.