Marlins vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 17th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will take on the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Saturday at Citi Field, starting at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We've performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Marlins vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Mets have a 66% chance of beating the Marlins.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Marlins vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Marlins vs. Mets picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Marlins vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, August 17th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Mets -1.5
• Moneyline: Marlins +164 / Mets -190
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-102/-115)

Mets -1.5 @ +110 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 54% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 46%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +110.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -115.
• Our analysis shows a 54% probability of the 8.5-run total staying under, providing an edge of 0.7%.

Marlins vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Marlins at +164 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the New York Mets are available at -190 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 66% chance of victory.

Additionally, the Mets present the best betting value, with the odds of -190 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 0.6%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Marlins vs. Mets

Here are the top MLB player props for Saturday's Marlins vs. Mets game.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Max Meyer Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-125)

• Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Max Meyer to record under 2.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 69.1%, giving us an edge of 13.5% on the -125 odds offered by DraftKings.

New York Mets Prediction - Luis Severino Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+120)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Luis Severino to have over 2.5 earned runs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 59.3%, providing an edge of 13.8% on the +120 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Marlins vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Marlins vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Mark Vientos to Hit a Home Run

Mark Vientos has hit at least one home run in 6 of his last 19 appearances (32% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +375 (21% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luis Severino of the Mets to record over 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 13.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Mets -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Marlins vs. Mets predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.