Marlins vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 16th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New York Mets will go up against the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Friday at Citi Field, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Marlins vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Mets have a 69% chance of defeating the Marlins.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Marlins vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Marlins vs. Mets picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Marlins vs. Mets Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, August 16th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Citi Field
- Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Mets -1.5
- Moneyline: Marlins +215 / Mets -250
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-105/-110)
Marlins +1.5 @ +100 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Marlins and Mets have a 50% chance of covering the run line in this matchup.
- We prefer the Marlins +1.5 due to FanDuel Sportsbook's more favorable odds of +100.
Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -110 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 51% likelihood of the 8.5-run total staying under.
Marlins vs. Mets Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Marlins at +215 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the New York Mets are available at -250 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 69% chance of coming out on top.
Even though the Mets are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +215 odds on the Marlins moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Marlins vs. Mets
Here are the best MLB player props for Friday's Marlins vs. Mets matchup.
Miami Marlins Prediction - Roddery Munoz Under 14.5 Outs Recorded (+115)
- Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Roddery Munoz to record under 14.5 outs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 59.5%, giving us an edge of 13.0% over the +115 odds offered by BetMGM.
New York Mets Prediction - Sean Manaea Under 17.5 Outs (+150)
- Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Sean Manaea to have under 17.5 outs.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 53.3%, providing an edge of 13.3% on the +150 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Marlins vs. Mets Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Marlins vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jonah Bride to Hit a Home Run
Jonah Bride has hit at least one home run in 5 of his last 14 appearances (36% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +900 (10% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Xavier Edwards to Record a Hit
Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 16 games (88%). You can place a bet on him to get another one at odds of -220 (69%), also available at DraftKings.
Xavier Edwards to Hit a Home Run
Xavier Edwards has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 16 games (6%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +1500 (6%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Sean Manaea of the Mets to record under 17.5 outs, with an edge of 13.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Marlins vs. Mets predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.