Marlins vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 13th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New York Mets will take on the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Thursday at Citi Field, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Marlins vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Mets have a 63% chance of beating the Marlins.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Marlins vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Marlins vs. Mets picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Marlins vs. Mets Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, June 13th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Citi Field
- Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Mets -1.5
- Moneyline: Marlins +170 / Mets -200
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-115/-102)
Marlins +1.5 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 45%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -118 for the Marlins +1.5, providing a favorable 1.1% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -115 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -115.
- Our analysis indicates a 52% probability that the total will go over 8.5 runs.
Marlins vs. Mets Moneyline Odds
| Miami Marlins | New York Mets |
|---|---|
| +170 via DraftKings Sportsbook | -200 via BetMGM |
The Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 63% chance of prevailing.
Although the Mets are favored to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +170 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 0%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Marlins vs. Mets
Here are the top MLB player props for Thursday's Marlins vs. Mets matchup.
Miami Marlins Prediction - Roddery Munoz Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roddery Munoz Under 4.5 Strikeouts | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -120 |
- Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Roddery Munoz to record under 4.5 strikeouts.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 81.2%, providing an edge of 26.7% over the -120 odds offered by FanDuel.
New York Mets Prediction - Luis Severino Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-105)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino Under 5.5 Hits Allowed | BetMGM | Get Offer | -105 |
- Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Luis Severino to have under 5.5 hits allowed.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 68.9%, providing an edge of 17.6% on the -105 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Marlins vs. Mets Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Marlins vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Harrison Bader to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +245 |
Harrison Bader has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 games (40% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +245 (29% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Francisco Ãlvarez to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Ãlvarez to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +190 |
Francisco Ãlvarez has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +190 (34%), also available at DraftKings.
Brandon Nimmo to Record a Hit
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo to Record a Hit | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -190 |
Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 21 appearances (71%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -180 (64%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Roddery Munoz of the Marlins to record under 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 26.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.
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