Marlins vs. Astros Picks & Best Bets 11th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Houston Astros will take on the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Thursday at Minute Maid Park, starting at 8:10 p.m. ET.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to highlight the best Marlins vs. Astros bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Astros have a 61% chance of beating the Marlins.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Marlins vs. Astros Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Marlins vs. Astros picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Marlins vs. Astros Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, July 11th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Minute Maid Park
- Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Astros -1.5
- Moneyline: Marlins +154 / Astros -175
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-120/+100)
Marlins +1.5 @ -130 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 43%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -130 for the Marlins +1.5, providing a favorable 0.4% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -120 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -120.
- Our analysis indicates a 56% probability of the 8.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 1.8%.
Marlins vs. Astros Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Marlins at +154 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Houston Astros are available at -175 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Astros are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 61% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Astros are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +154 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 0.1%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Marlins vs. Astros
Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Marlins vs. Astros game.
Miami Marlins Prediction - Nick Fortes To Get a Hit (-130)
- Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Nick Fortes to get a hit.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 69.4%, providing an edge of 12.8% over the -130 odds offered by BetMGM.
Houston Astros Prediction - Cesar Salazar To Get a Hit (-110)
- Our best prop bet for the Astros is on Cesar Salazar to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 63.2%, giving us an edge of 10.8% on the -110 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Marlins vs. Astros Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Marlins vs. Astros trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Jon Singleton to Record a Hit
Jon Singleton has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 14 games (86% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of -145 (59% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Jose Altuve to Record an RBI
Jose Altuve has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 11 games (64%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +195 (34%), also available at DraftKings.
Jake Meyers to Record an RBI
Jake Meyers has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 11 games (55%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +190 (34%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Nick Fortes of the Marlins to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Marlins vs. Astros predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.