Marlins vs. Astros Picks & Best Bets 10th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Houston Astros will host the Miami Marlins in MLB action on Wednesday at Minute Maid Park, beginning at 8:10 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to pinpoint the best Marlins vs. Astros bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Astros have a 66% chance of beating the Marlins.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Marlins vs. Astros Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Marlins vs. Astros picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Marlins vs. Astros Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, July 10th, 2024
• Game Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Minute Maid Park
• Run Line: Marlins +1.5 / Astros -1.5
• Moneyline: Marlins +198 / Astros -225
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-110/-108)

Marlins +1.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 47%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -105 for the Marlins +1.5, providing a favorable 1.9% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -110 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -110.
• Our analysis suggests a 54% chance that the total will go over 8 runs, providing an edge of 2%.

Marlins vs. Astros Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Marlins at +198 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Houston Astros are available at -225 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Astros are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 66% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Astros are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +198 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 0.9%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Marlins vs. Astros

Here are the best MLB player props for Wednesday's Marlins vs. Astros matchup.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Bryan Hoeing Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+165)

• Our top prop bet for the Marlins is on Bryan Hoeing to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 44.0%, providing an edge of 6.3% the +165 odds offered by DraftKings.

Houston Astros Prediction - Framber Valdez Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+140)

• Our best prop bet for the Astros is on Framber Valdez to have over 2.5 earned runs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 55.4%, providing an edge of 13.8% on the +140 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Marlins vs. Astros Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Marlins vs. Astros trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Jon Singleton to Record a Hit

Jon Singleton has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 13 appearances (85% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -150 (60% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Jon Singleton to Record an RBI

Jon Singleton has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +210 (32%), also available at DraftKings.

Jon Singleton to Hit a Home Run

Jon Singleton has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 games (20%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +650 (13%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Framber Valdez of the Astros to record over 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 13.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Marlins vs. Astros predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.