Mariners vs. Red Sox Picks & Best Bets 30th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Boston Red Sox will face the Seattle Mariners in MLB action on Tuesday at Fenway Park, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Mariners vs. Red Sox bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Red Sox have a 52% chance of defeating the Mariners.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Mariners vs. Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mariners vs. Red Sox picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Mariners vs. Red Sox Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, July 30th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Fenway Park
• Run Line: Mariners -1.5 / Red Sox +1.5
• Moneyline: Mariners -118 / Red Sox +100
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 10.5 Runs (-105/-110)

Red Sox +1.5 @ -148 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Red Sox have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Mariners have a probability of 36%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -148 for the Red Sox +1.5, providing a favorable 4% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 10.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 10.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -110.
• Our analysis indicates a 54% probability that the total will stay under 10.5 runs, providing an edge of 1.8%.

Mariners vs. Red Sox Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Seattle Mariners at -118 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Boston Red Sox are available at +100 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Red Sox are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 52% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Red Sox also present the best betting value, with the odds of +100 available at BetMGM for an edge of 2.1%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mariners vs. Red Sox

Here are the best MLB player props for Tuesday's Mariners vs. Red Sox game.

Seattle Mariners Prediction - Luis Castillo Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+115)

• Our top prop bet for the Mariners is on Luis Castillo to record over 5.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 58.7%, giving us an edge of 12.2% on the +115 odds offered by DraftKings.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Connor Wong To Get a Hit (-165)

• Our best prop bet for the Red Sox is on Connor Wong to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.1%, providing an edge of 10.8% on the -165 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mariners vs. Red Sox Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Mariners vs. Red Sox trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela to Record a Hit

Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 10 appearances (90% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of -185 (65% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Masataka Yoshida to Record an RBI

Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 19 appearances (53%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +170 (37%), also available at DraftKings.

Connor Wong to Record an RBI

Connor Wong has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +210 (32%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luis Castillo of the Mariners to record over 5.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 12.2% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Red Sox +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Mariners vs. Red Sox predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.