Mariners vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 17th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will go up against the Seattle Mariners in MLB action on Saturday at PNC Park, starting at 1:05 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Mariners vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Mariners have a 55% chance of beating the Pirates.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Mariners vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mariners vs. Pirates picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Mariners vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, August 17th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Mariners -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
• Moneyline: Mariners -155 / Pirates +134
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-110/-108)

Pirates +1.5 @ -125 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Mariners have a probability of 43%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -125 for the Pirates +1.5, providing a favorable 1.7% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -108.
• Our analysis suggests a slightly higher probability that the total will stay under 8.5 runs.

Mariners vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Seattle Mariners at -155 via BetMGM, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at +134 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mariners are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 55% chance of prevailing.

Even though the Mariners are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +134 odds on the Pirates moneyline, providing an edge of 1.8%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mariners vs. Pirates

Here are the top MLB player props for Saturday's Mariners vs. Pirates matchup.

Seattle Mariners Prediction - Luis Castillo Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (+105)

• Our top prop bet for the Mariners is on Luis Castillo to record over 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 58.1%, providing an edge of 9.3% over the +105 odds offered by BetMGM.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Bryan De La Cruz To Get a Hit (-170)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Bryan De La Cruz to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 66.7%, providing an edge of 3.7% on the -170 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mariners vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Mariners vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Joey Bart to Record an RBI

Joey Bart has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 16 appearances (50% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +180 (36% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luis Castillo of the Mariners to record over 5.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 9.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Mariners vs. Pirates predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.