Mariners vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 20th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will meet the Seattle Mariners in MLB action on Thursday at Progressive Field, starting at 1:10 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Mariners vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Guardians have a 56% chance of defeating the Mariners.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Mariners vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mariners vs. Guardians picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Mariners vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, June 20th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: Mariners -1.5 / Guardians +1.5
• Moneyline: Mariners +110 / Guardians -125
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-105/-115)

Mariners -1.5 @ +172 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Mariners have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Mariners have a probability of 43%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of +172 for the Mariners -1.5, presenting a favorable 6.5% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -115.
• Our analysis suggests a 53% chance of the 8.5-run total staying under.

Mariners vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Seattle Mariners at +110 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at -125 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 56% chance of victory.

Additionally, the Guardians present the best betting value, with the odds of -125 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0.6%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mariners vs. Guardians

Here are the top MLB player props for Thursday's Mariners vs. Guardians matchup.

Seattle Mariners Prediction - Luis Castillo Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (+115)

• Our top prop bet for the Mariners is on Luis Castillo to record under 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 55.6%, providing an edge of 9.1% over the +115 odds offered by BetMGM.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Logan Allen Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-115)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Logan Allen to have over 4.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 66.4%, providing an edge of 12.9% on the -115 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mariners vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mariners vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

David Fry to Record an RBI

David Fry has recorded at least one RBI in 11 of his last 24 games (46% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +215 (32% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

David Fry to Record a Hit

David Fry has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 22 games (68%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -150 (60%), also available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Logan Allen of the Guardians to record over 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 12.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Mariners -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Mariners vs. Guardians predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.