Guardians vs. Twins Picks & Best Bets 11th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Minnesota Twins will meet the Cleveland Guardians in MLB action on Sunday at Target Field, starting at 2:10 p.m. ET.

We've performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Guardians vs. Twins bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Twins have a 52% chance of beating the Guardians.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Guardians vs. Twins Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Guardians vs. Twins picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Guardians vs. Twins Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, August 11th, 2024
• Game Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Target Field
• Run Line: Guardians -1.5 / Twins +1.5
• Moneyline: Guardians +100 / Twins -116
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-112/-105)

Guardians -1.5 @ +170 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Guardians have a probability of 35%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +170.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -112.
• Our analysis indicates a 55% chance that the total will go over 8 runs, providing an edge of 2.6%.

Guardians vs. Twins Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cleveland Guardians at +100 via BetMGM, whilst the Minnesota Twins are available at -116 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Twins are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 52% chance of prevailing.

Additionally, the Twins present the best betting value, with the odds of -116 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Guardians vs. Twins

Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Guardians vs. Twins game.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Tanner Bibee Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+125)

• Our top prop bet for the Guardians is on Tanner Bibee to record over 2.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 56.4%, providing an edge of 11.9% over the +125 odds offered by DraftKings.

Minnesota Twins Prediction - David Festa Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+124)

• Our best prop bet for the Twins is on David Festa to have over 4.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 56.0%, providing an edge of 11.4% on the +124 odds available at FanDuel.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Guardians vs. Twins Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Guardians vs. Twins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

José Ramírez to Hit a Home Run

José Ramírez has hit at least one home run in 5 of his last 12 games (42% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +500 (17% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Christian Vázquez to Hit a Home Run

Christian Vázquez has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 18 games (22%). You can place a bet on him to hit another one at odds of +1300 (7%), also available at DraftKings.

Brayan Rocchio to Hit a Home Run

Brayan Rocchio has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 appearances (20%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +1500 (6%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tanner Bibee of the Guardians to record over 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 11.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Guardians -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Guardians vs. Twins predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.