Guardians vs. Royals Picks & Best Bets 4th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Kansas City Royals will meet the Cleveland Guardians in MLB action on Wednesday at Kauffman Stadium, beginning at 7:40 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Guardians vs. Royals bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Royals have a 52% chance of beating the Guardians.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Guardians vs. Royals Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Guardians vs. Royals picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Guardians vs. Royals Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, September 4th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Kauffman Stadium
- Run Line: Guardians +1.5 / Royals -1.5
- Moneyline: Guardians +115 / Royals -130
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-115/+100)
Guardians +1.5 @ -178 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Royals have a probability of 36%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -178 for the Guardians +1.5, presenting a favorable 0% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -115 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -115.
- Our analysis shows a 55% likelihood of the 8.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 1.2%.
Guardians vs. Royals Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cleveland Guardians at +115 via BetMGM, whilst the Kansas City Royals are available at -130 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Royals are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 52% chance of coming out on top.
Even though the Royals are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +115 odds on the Guardians moneyline, providing an edge of 1.1%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Guardians vs. Royals
Here are the best MLB player props for Wednesday's Guardians vs. Royals matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Ben Lively Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (-105)
- Our top prop bet for the Guardians is on Ben Lively to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 65.1%, providing an edge of 13.9% on the -105 odds offered by DraftKings.
Kansas City Royals Prediction - Kyle Isbel To Get a Hit (-165)
- Our best prop bet for the Royals is on Kyle Isbel to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 72.8%, providing an edge of 10.5% on the -165 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Guardians vs. Royals Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Guardians vs. Royals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Bo Naylor to Hit a Home Run
Bo Naylor has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 appearances (20% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +850 (11% implied probability), available at Bet365.
David Fry to Hit a Home Run
David Fry has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 21 games (19%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +650 (13%), also available at Bet365.
Josh Naylor to Record an RBI
Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 11 appearances (45%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +125 (44%), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Ben Lively of the Guardians to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 13.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Guardians +1.5 to cover.
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