Guardians vs. Royals Picks & Best Bets 27th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Kansas City Royals will face the Cleveland Guardians in MLB action on Thursday at Kauffman Stadium, beginning at 8:10 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to pinpoint the best Guardians vs. Royals bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Royals have a 52% chance of defeating the Guardians.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Guardians vs. Royals Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Guardians vs. Royals picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Guardians vs. Royals Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, June 27th, 2024
• Game Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Kauffman Stadium
• Run Line: Guardians -1.5 / Royals +1.5
• Moneyline: Guardians -110 / Royals -105
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-105/-115)

Royals +1.5 @ -165 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Royals have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Guardians have a probability of 36%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -165 for the Royals +1.5, providing a favorable 1.8% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -115.
• Our analysis indicates a 53% probability of the 9-run total staying under.

Guardians vs. Royals Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cleveland Guardians at -110 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Kansas City Royals are available at -105 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Royals are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 52% chance of prevailing.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Royals also present the best betting value, with the odds of -105 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 0.9%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Guardians vs. Royals

Here are the top MLB player props for Thursday's Guardians vs. Royals matchup.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Ben Lively Over 16.5 Outs Recorded (-120)

• Our top prop bet for the Guardians is on Ben Lively to record over 16.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 67.1%, providing an edge of 12.5% over the -120 odds offered by BetMGM.

Kansas City Royals Prediction - Hunter Renfroe To Get a Hit (-190)

• Our best prop bet for the Royals is on Hunter Renfroe to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 70.7%, giving us an edge of 5.1% on the -190 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Guardians vs. Royals Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Guardians vs. Royals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Steven Kwan to Record an RBI

Steven Kwan has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 10 games (70% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +210 (32% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Nick Loftin to Record an RBI

Nick Loftin has recorded at least one RBI in 3 of his last 10 games (30%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +240 (29%), also available at DraftKings.

David Fry to Record an RBI

David Fry has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 24 appearances (42%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +145 (41%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Ben Lively of the Guardians to record over 16.5 outs, with an edge of 12.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Royals +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Guardians vs. Royals predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.