Guardians vs. Rays Picks & Best Bets 14th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays will take on the Cleveland Guardians in MLB action on Sunday at Tropicana Field, starting at 1:40 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Guardians vs. Rays bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Rays have a 56% chance of beating the Guardians.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Guardians vs. Rays Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Guardians vs. Rays picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Guardians vs. Rays Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, July 14th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Tropicana Field
• Run Line: Guardians +1.5 / Rays -1.5
• Moneyline: Guardians +110 / Rays -125
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-115/-104)

Rays -1.5 @ +172 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Rays have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Rays have a probability of 36%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +172.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 0.2%.

Guardians vs. Rays Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cleveland Guardians at +110 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Tampa Bay Rays are available at -125 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Rays are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 56% chance of prevailing.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Rays also present the best betting value, with the odds of -125 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0.5%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Guardians vs. Rays

Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Guardians vs. Rays game.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Ben Lively Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+100)

• Our top prop bet for the Guardians is on Ben Lively to record over 4.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 57.4%, providing an edge of 7.4% the +100 odds offered by BetMGM.

Tampa Bay Rays Prediction - Ryan Pepiot Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+122)

• Our best prop bet for the Rays is on Ryan Pepiot to have over 5.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 51.7%, giving us an edge of 6.7% on the +122 odds available at FanDuel.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Guardians vs. Rays Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Guardians vs. Rays trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Brayan Rocchio to Record an RBI

Brayan Rocchio has recorded at least one RBI in 3 of his last 11 games (27% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +310 (24% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Richie Palacios to Record an RBI

Richie Palacios has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 14 games (36%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +230 (30%), also available at DraftKings.

Isaac Paredes to Record an RBI

Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 16 games (44%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +150 (40%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Ben Lively of the Guardians to record over 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 7.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Rays -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Guardians vs. Rays predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.