Guardians vs. Rays Picks & Best Bets 13th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays will face the Cleveland Guardians in MLB action on Saturday at Tropicana Field, starting at 4:10 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Guardians vs. Rays bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Guardians have a 51% chance of beating the Rays.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Guardians vs. Rays Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Guardians vs. Rays picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Guardians vs. Rays Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, July 13th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Tropicana Field
- Run Line: Guardians -1.5 / Rays +1.5
- Moneyline: Guardians -110 / Rays -106
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-112/-105)
Rays +1.5 @ -180 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Rays have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Guardians have a probability of 37%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -180.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -112.
- Our analysis suggests a 53% probability of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.5%.
Guardians vs. Rays Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cleveland Guardians at -110 via BetMGM, whilst the Tampa Bay Rays are available at -106 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 51% chance of prevailing.
Additionally, the Guardians present the best betting value, with the odds of -110 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Guardians vs. Rays
Here are the top MLB player props for Saturday's Guardians vs. Rays matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Gavin Williams Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+110)
- Our top prop bet for the Guardians is on Gavin Williams to record over 2.5 earned runs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 58.7%, providing an edge of 11.1% over the +110 odds offered by BetMGM.
Tampa Bay Rays Prediction - Richie Palacios To Get a Hit (-130)
- Our best prop bet for the Rays is on Richie Palacios to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 64.4%, providing an edge of 7.9% on the -130 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Guardians vs. Rays Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Guardians vs. Rays trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Ben Rortvedt to Record an RBI
Ben Rortvedt has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 18 games (39% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +255 (28% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Richie Palacios to Record an RBI
Richie Palacios has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 13 games (38%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +235 (30%), also available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Gavin Williams of the Guardians to record over 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 11.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Rays +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Guardians vs. Rays predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.