Guardians vs. Rays Picks & Best Bets 12th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays will meet the Cleveland Guardians in MLB action on Friday at Tropicana Field, beginning at 6:50 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Guardians vs. Rays bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Rays have a 56% chance of defeating the Guardians.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Guardians vs. Rays Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Guardians vs. Rays picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Guardians vs. Rays Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, July 12th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:50 p.m. ET
• Location: Tropicana Field
• Run Line: Guardians +1.5 / Rays -1.5
• Moneyline: Guardians +120 / Rays -135
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-102/-115)

Rays -1.5 @ +155 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Rays have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Rays have a probability of 38%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +155.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -102.
• Our analysis suggests a 52% chance of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 1.3%.

Guardians vs. Rays Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cleveland Guardians at +120 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Tampa Bay Rays are available at -135 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Rays are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 56% chance of prevailing.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Rays also present the best betting value, with the odds of -135 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0.4%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Guardians vs. Rays

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Guardians vs. Rays game.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Carlos Carrasco Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (+110)

• Our top prop bet for the Guardians is on Carlos Carrasco to record over 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 59.2%, giving us an edge of 11.6% the +110 odds offered by BetMGM.

Tampa Bay Rays Prediction - Taj Bradley Under 16.5 Outs (-110)

• Our best prop bet for the Rays is on Taj Bradley to have under 16.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 61.5%, giving us an edge of 9.1% on the -110 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Guardians vs. Rays Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Guardians vs. Rays trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Yandy Díaz to Record an RBI

Yandy Díaz has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 19 games (53% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +220 (31% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Richie Palacios to Record an RBI

Richie Palacios has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 12 appearances (42%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +255 (28%), also available at DraftKings.

Ben Rortvedt to Record an RBI

Ben Rortvedt has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 18 games (39%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +295 (25%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Carlos Carrasco of the Guardians to record over 5.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 11.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Rays -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Guardians vs. Rays predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.