Guardians vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 27th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will go up against the Cleveland Guardians in MLB action on Saturday at Citizens Bank Park, beginning at 6:05 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Guardians vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Phillies have a 58% chance of defeating the Guardians.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Guardians vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Guardians vs. Phillies picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Guardians vs. Phillies Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, July 27th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:05 p.m. ET
- Location: Citizens Bank Park
- Run Line: Guardians +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
- Moneyline: Guardians +136 / Phillies -154
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (+102/-122)
Guardians +1.5 @ -140 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 40%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -140 for the Guardians +1.5, providing a favorable 1.5% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 9.5 @ +102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at +102.
- Our analysis indicates a 49% chance of the 9.5-run total going over, which presents greater value compared to betting on the under.
Guardians vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cleveland Guardians at +136 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -154 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 58% chance of coming out on top.
Although the Phillies are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +136 odds on the Guardians moneyline, providing an edge of 0%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Guardians vs. Phillies
Here are the best MLB player props for Saturday's Guardians vs. Phillies matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Carlos Carrasco Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+130)
- Our top prop bet for the Guardians is on Carlos Carrasco to record over 4.5 strikeouts.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 57.1%, providing an edge of 13.6% on the +130 odds offered by BetMGM.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Brandon Marsh To Get a Hit (-175)
- Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Brandon Marsh to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.8%, giving us an edge of 13.1% on the -175 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Guardians vs. Phillies Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Guardians vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Daniel Schneemann to Record an RBI
Daniel Schneemann has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 25 games (32% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +215 (32% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Bryson Stott to Record an RBI
Bryson Stott has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 11 appearances (36%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +195 (34%), also available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Carlos Carrasco of the Guardians to record over 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 13.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Guardians +1.5 to cover.
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