Guardians vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 26th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will meet the Cleveland Guardians in MLB action on Friday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Guardians vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Phillies have a 64% chance of beating the Guardians.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Guardians vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Guardians vs. Phillies picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Guardians vs. Phillies Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, July 26th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Citizens Bank Park
- Run Line: Guardians +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
- Moneyline: Guardians +160 / Phillies -185
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-105/-105)
Phillies -1.5 @ +110 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Phillies have a 54% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 46%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +110.
Total Runs Over 8 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis indicates a 53% probability of the 8-run total going over, providing an edge of 1.7%.
Guardians vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cleveland Guardians at +160 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -185 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 64% chance of victory.
Additionally, the Phillies present the best betting value, with the odds of -185 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Guardians vs. Phillies
Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Guardians vs. Phillies matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Ben Lively Over 16.5 Outs Recorded (-105)
- Our top prop bet for the Guardians is on Ben Lively to record over 16.5 outs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 62.3%, providing an edge of 11.1% over the -105 odds offered by BetMGM.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Brandon Marsh To Get a Hit (-150)
- Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Brandon Marsh to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.4%, providing an edge of 13.5% on the -150 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Guardians vs. Phillies Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Guardians vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Josh Naylor to Record an RBI
Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in 9 of his last 22 appearances (41% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +210 (32% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Andrés Giménez to Record an RBI
Andrés Giménez has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 17 appearances (29%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +270 (27%), also available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Brandon Marsh of the Phillies to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Phillies -1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Guardians vs. Phillies predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.