Guardians vs. Brewers Picks & Best Bets 18th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers will face the Cleveland Guardians in MLB action on Sunday at American Family Field, beginning at 2:10 p.m. ET.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Guardians vs. Brewers bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Brewers have a 51% chance of defeating the Guardians.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Guardians vs. Brewers Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Guardians vs. Brewers picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Guardians vs. Brewers Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, August 18th, 2024
- Game Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
- Location: American Family Field
- Run Line: Guardians +1.5 / Brewers -1.5
- Moneyline: Guardians +106 / Brewers -124
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-115/+100)
Guardians +1.5 @ -192 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Brewers have a probability of 35%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -192.
Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -115.
- Our analysis indicates a 53% probability that the total will go over 8.5 runs.
Guardians vs. Brewers Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cleveland Guardians at +106 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Milwaukee Brewers are available at -124 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Brewers are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 51% chance of victory.
Although the Brewers are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +106 odds on the Guardians moneyline, providing an edge of 0.2%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Guardians vs. Brewers
Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Guardians vs. Brewers game.
Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Ben Lively Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (-110)
- Our top prop bet for the Guardians is on Ben Lively to record over 5.5 hits allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 64.7%, giving us an edge of 12.3% on the -110 odds offered by BetMGM.
Milwaukee Brewers Prediction - Colin Rea Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+130)
- Our best prop bet for the Brewers is on Colin Rea to have over 1.5 walks allowed.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 57.4%, providing an edge of 14.0% on the +130 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Guardians vs. Brewers Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Guardians vs. Brewers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
William Contreras to Hit a Home Run
William Contreras has hit at least one home run in 5 of his last 10 appearances (50% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +375 (21% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Jackson Chourio to Hit a Home Run
Jackson Chourio has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 19 games (21%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +525 (16%), also available at Bet365.
Rhys Hoskins to Hit a Home Run
Rhys Hoskins has hit at least one home run in 5 of his last 18 games (28%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +320 (24%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Colin Rea of the Brewers to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 14% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Guardians +1.5 to cover.
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