Guardians vs. Brewers Picks & Best Bets 17th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers will host the Cleveland Guardians in MLB action on Saturday at American Family Field, beginning at 7:15 p.m. ET.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Guardians vs. Brewers bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Brewers have a 53% chance of defeating the Guardians.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Guardians vs. Brewers Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Guardians vs. Brewers picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Guardians vs. Brewers Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, August 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Location: American Family Field
- Run Line: Guardians +1.5 / Brewers -1.5
- Moneyline: Guardians +110 / Brewers -125
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-102/-110)
Guardians +1.5 @ -198 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the Brewers have a probability of 34%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -198.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -102.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.4%.
Guardians vs. Brewers Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cleveland Guardians at +110 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Milwaukee Brewers are available at -125 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Brewers are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 53% chance of coming out on top.
Even though the Brewers are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +110 odds on the Guardians moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Guardians vs. Brewers
Here are the best MLB player props for Saturday's Guardians vs. Brewers game.
Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Tanner Bibee Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (-115)
- Our top prop bet for the Guardians is on Tanner Bibee to record over 4.5 hits allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 64.0%, providing an edge of 10.6% the -115 odds offered by BetMGM.
Milwaukee Brewers Prediction - Freddy Peralta Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+126)
- Our best prop bet for the Brewers is on Freddy Peralta to have over 5.5 strikeouts.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 58.1%, providing an edge of 13.9% on the +126 odds available at FanDuel.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Guardians vs. Brewers Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Guardians vs. Brewers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
José RamÃrez to Hit a Home Run
José RamÃrez has hit at least one home run in 7 of his last 17 appearances (41% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +400 (20% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Brayan Rocchio to Hit a Home Run
Brayan Rocchio has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 14 appearances (14%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +1100 (8%), also available at Bet365.
Bo Naylor to Hit a Home Run
Bo Naylor has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 13 games (23%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +600 (14%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Freddy Peralta of the Brewers to record over 5.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 13.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Guardians +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Guardians vs. Brewers predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.