Giants vs. Braves Picks & Best Bets 4th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Atlanta Braves will meet the San Francisco Giants in MLB action on Thursday at Truist Park, beginning at 7:20 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Giants vs. Braves bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Braves have a 56% chance of defeating the Giants.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Giants vs. Braves Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Giants vs. Braves picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Giants vs. Braves Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, July 4th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Truist Park
- Run Line: Giants +1.5 / Braves -1.5
- Moneyline: Giants +114 / Braves -130
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-120/+100)
Braves -1.5 @ +165 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Braves have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Braves have a probability of 37%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +165.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -120 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -120.
- Our analysis shows a 58% probability of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 3.2%.
Giants vs. Braves Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Francisco Giants at +114 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Atlanta Braves are available at -130 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Braves are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 56% chance of prevailing.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Braves also present the best betting value, with the odds of -130 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Giants vs. Braves
Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Giants vs. Braves game.
San Francisco Giants Prediction - Logan Webb Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-160)
- Our top prop bet for the Giants is on Logan Webb to record under 18.5 outs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 73.3%, giving us an edge of 11.7% the -160 odds offered by BetMGM.
Atlanta Braves Prediction - Charlie Morton Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+125)
- Our best prop bet for the Braves is on Charlie Morton to have over 6.5 strikeouts.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 49.2%, giving us an edge of 4.8% on the +125 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Giants vs. Braves Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Giants vs. Braves trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
LaMonte Wade Jr. to Record an RBI
LaMonte Wade Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 11 appearances (36% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +260 (28% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Logan Webb of the Giants to record under 18.5 outs, with an edge of 11.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Braves -1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Giants vs. Braves predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets tonight and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.