Diamondbacks vs. Royals Picks & Best Bets 23rd Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Kansas City Royals will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action on Tuesday at Kauffman Stadium, starting at 8:10 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to identify the best Diamondbacks vs. Royals bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Royals have a 51% chance of beating the Diamondbacks.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Diamondbacks vs. Royals Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Diamondbacks vs. Royals picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Royals Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, July 23rd, 2024
• Game Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Kauffman Stadium
• Run Line: Diamondbacks -1.5 / Royals +1.5
• Moneyline: Diamondbacks -104 / Royals -110
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-115/+100)

Royals +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Royals have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Diamondbacks have a probability of 37%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -175.

Total Runs Under 9 @ +100 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at +100.
• Our analysis shows a 53% chance of the 9-run total staying under, providing an edge of 2.8%.

Diamondbacks vs. Royals Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Arizona Diamondbacks at -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Kansas City Royals are available at -110 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Royals are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 51% chance of coming out on top.

Additionally, the Royals present the best betting value, with the odds of -110 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Diamondbacks vs. Royals

Here are the top MLB player props for Tuesday's Diamondbacks vs. Royals game.

Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Jordan Montgomery Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+140)

• Our top prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Jordan Montgomery to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 48.3%, giving us an edge of 6.6% on the +140 odds offered by DraftKings.

Kansas City Royals Prediction - Alec Marsh Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+100)

• Our best prop bet for the Royals is on Alec Marsh to have over 2.5 earned runs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 61.7%, providing an edge of 11.7% on the +100 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Diamondbacks vs. Royals Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Diamondbacks vs. Royals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Corbin Carroll to Record an RBI

Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 10 games (60% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +190 (34% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Eugenio Suárez to Record an RBI

Eugenio Suárez has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 10 games (70%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +195 (34%), also available at DraftKings.

Alek Thomas to Record an RBI

Alek Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 14 appearances (36%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +200 (33%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Alec Marsh of the Royals to record over 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 11.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Royals +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Diamondbacks vs. Royals predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.