Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Picks & Best Bets 23rd Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Boston Red Sox will host the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action on Friday at Fenway Park, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Red Sox have a 56% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, August 23rd, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Fenway Park
• Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 / Red Sox -1.5
• Moneyline: Diamondbacks +108 / Red Sox -125
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (-110/-110)

Red Sox -1.5 @ +165 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Red Sox have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the Red Sox have a probability of 39%.
• BetMGM offers odds of +165 for the Red Sox -1.5, providing a favorable 1.2% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 9.5 @ -110 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -110.
• Our analysis suggests a slightly higher probability of the 9.5-run total going over.

Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Arizona Diamondbacks at +108 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Boston Red Sox are available at -125 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Red Sox are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 56% chance of prevailing.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Red Sox also present the best betting value, with the odds of -125 available at DraftKings Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 0.8%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Geraldo Perdomo To Get a Hit (-155)

• Our top prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Geraldo Perdomo to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 70.2%, giving us an edge of 9.4% over the -155 odds offered by BetMGM.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Brayan Bello Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (+120)

• Our best prop bet for the Red Sox is on Brayan Bello to have over 5.5 hits allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 56.1%, providing an edge of 10.6% on the +120 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Adrian Del Castillo to Hit a Home Run

Adrian Del Castillo has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +700 (12% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Josh Bell to Hit a Home Run

Josh Bell has hit at least one home run in 7 of his last 25 games (28%). You can place a bet on him to hit another one at odds of +700 (12%), also available at Bet365.

Joc Pederson to Hit a Home Run

Joc Pederson has hit at least one home run in 7 of his last 22 appearances (32%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +425 (19%), again available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Brayan Bello of the Red Sox to record over 5.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 10.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Red Sox -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.