Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 4th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action on Sunday at PNC Park, beginning at 1:35 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Diamondbacks vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Pirates have a 59% chance of beating the Diamondbacks.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Diamondbacks vs. Pirates picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, August 4th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 / Pirates -1.5
• Moneyline: Diamondbacks +140 / Pirates -165
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-105/-115)

Diamondbacks +1.5 @ -154 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Diamondbacks have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Pirates have a probability of 40%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -154.

Total Runs Under 8 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -115.
• Our analysis shows a 54% likelihood that the total will stay under 8 runs, providing an edge of 0.5%.

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Arizona Diamondbacks at +140 via BetMGM, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at -165 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Pirates are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 59% chance of victory.

Even though the Pirates are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +140 odds on the Diamondbacks moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Diamondbacks vs. Pirates

Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Diamondbacks vs. Pirates matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Ryne Nelson Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140)

• Our top prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Ryne Nelson to record under 4.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 70.1%, providing an edge of 11.7% over the -140 odds offered by BetMGM.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Paul Skenes Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+110)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Paul Skenes to have over 7.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 55.0%, providing an edge of 7.4% on the +110 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Diamondbacks vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Gabriel Moreno to Record an RBI

Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 12 games (42% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +270 (27% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa to Record an RBI

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 24 games (42%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +235 (30%), also available at DraftKings.

Alek Thomas to Record an RBI

Alek Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 12 games (33%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +250 (29%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Ryne Nelson of the D-Backs to record under 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 11.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Diamondbacks +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Diamondbacks vs. Pirates predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.